---
title: "When will any company achieve AGI? — Corporate announcement"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-any-company-achieve-agi-corporate-announcement
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2031-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 219961.88
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:21:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-any-company-achieve-agi-corporate-announcement
---

# When will any company achieve AGI? — Corporate announcement

Live · $219,962 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

To qualify, the announcement must explicitly state that the company has achieved, attained, reached, or developed Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), or that it has achieved, attained, reached, or developed “AGI.” Statements that describe “AGI-like,” “AGI-level,” “near-AGI,” or “toward AGI” systems without explicitly stating that the company has achieved/attained/reached/developed AGI do not qualify. For purposes of this market, a “company” includes any publicly traded company or any privately held company whose existence and corporate identity is verifiable and whose financing/valuation or corporate profile is covered by at least two of the listed major business news sources.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2031 | 83% | 83¢ on Kalshi | 83¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 82% | 82¢ on Kalshi | 82¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 79% | 79¢ on Kalshi | 79¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2028 | 76% | 76¢ on Kalshi | 76¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 76% | 76¢ on Kalshi | 76¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2028 | 71% | 71¢ on Kalshi | 71¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 61% | 61¢ on Kalshi | 61¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 43% | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 28% | 30¢ on Kalshi | 30¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 26% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 11% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292510?via=md)

---

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