---
title: "When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Nov 3, 2026 election"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-ap-call-the-2026-us-house-majority-nov-3-2026-election
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 13447.03
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:36:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-ap-call-the-2026-us-house-majority-nov-3-2026-election
---

# When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority? — Nov 3, 2026 election

Live · $13,447 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner. The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Nov 11 | 87% | 90¢ on Kalshi | 90¢ |
| Before Nov 6 | 84% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| Before 4AM Nov 4 | 73% | 75¢ on Kalshi | 75¢ |
| Before 1AM Nov 4 | 48% | 49¢ on Kalshi | 49¢ |
| Before Nov 4 | 41% | 45¢ on Kalshi | 45¢ |
| Before 11PM Nov 3 | 11% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Before Jan 1 | — | — | — |
| Before Nov 14 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/304293?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-ap-call-the-2026-us-house-majority-nov-3-2026-election.

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