---
title: "When will AP call the NC-03 House election? — Nov 3, 2026 election"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-ap-call-the-nc-03-house-election-nov-3-2026-election
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-04T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4872.21
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:43:39+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-ap-call-the-nc-03-house-election-nov-3-2026-election
---

# When will AP call the NC-03 House election? — Nov 3, 2026 election

Live · $4,872 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, or equivalent clear language indicating AP has determined the winner. The phrase "projected to win" alone is insufficient; it must be AP's clear election call. The call must appear on one of AP's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is its primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication. If the call is later retracted, the market resolves to Yes based on the call time. Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 4 | 97% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Before Dec 1 | 93% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Before Nov 25 | 90% | 94¢ on Kalshi | 94¢ |
| Before Nov 18 | 49% | 53¢ on Kalshi | 53¢ |
| Before Nov 14 | 22% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Before Nov 13 | 13% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Before Dec 15 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1143255?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-ap-call-the-nc-03-house-election-nov-3-2026-election).

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