---
title: "When will Bitcoin cross $100k again? — 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-bitcoin-cross-100k-again-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3985279.24
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:02:22+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-bitcoin-cross-100k-again-2026
---

# When will Bitcoin cross $100k again? — 2026

Live · $3,985,279 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values. If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves. If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No. The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 2027 | 28% | 28¢ on Kalshi | 28¢ |
| Before December 2026 | 17% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Before November 2026 | 6% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Before October 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before May 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before June 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before July 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before September 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2387?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-bitcoin-cross-100k-again-2026.

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