---
title: "When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? — 2028 President of the United States race"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-gavin-newsom-announce-his-presidential-candidacy-2028-president-of-the-united-states-race
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-01T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6187.47
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:18:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-gavin-newsom-announce-his-presidential-candidacy-2028-president-of-the-united-states-race
---

# When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy? — 2028 President of the United States race

Live · $6,187 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | 71% | 75¢ on Kalshi | 75¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 66% | 70¢ on Kalshi | 70¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 50% | 54¢ on Kalshi | 54¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292895?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-gavin-newsom-announce-his-presidential-candidacy-2028-president-of-the-united-states-race.

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