---
title: "When will Google release Gemini 4?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-google-release-gemini-4
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 324291
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:58:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-google-release-gemini-4
---

# When will Google release Gemini 4?

Live · $324,291 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 97% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 96% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Before Dec 15, 2026 | 94% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| Before Nov 15, 2026 | 84% | 86¢ on Kalshi | 86¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 83% | 84¢ on Kalshi | 84¢ |
| Before Oct 16, 2026 | 44% | 46¢ on Kalshi | 46¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Sep 16, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/350411?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-google-release-gemini-4.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.