---
title: "When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions? — a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-insulated-copper-cable-face-section-232-restrictions-a-section-232-import-restriction-takes-effect-for-articles-classified-under-htsus-statistical-reporting-number-8544493040
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1836.62
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:47:13+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-insulated-copper-cable-face-section-232-restrictions-a-section-232-import-restriction-takes-effect-for-articles-classified-under-htsus-statistical-reporting-number-8544493040
---

# When will insulated copper cable face Section 232 restrictions? — a Section 232 import restriction takes effect for articles classified under HTSUS statistical reporting number 8544.49.3040

Live · $1,837 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A qualifying restriction is an additional duty above 0%, tariff-rate quota, absolute quota, or other binding quantitative import limit. Coverage through a successor or broader provision qualifies only if it fully encompasses the target line. Country carve-outs, metal-content thresholds, and other generally applicable conditions do not disqualify coverage, but coverage limited to a product or end-use subset of the line does. The restriction must take effect; merely signing or issuing an instrument with a later effective date does not qualify until that date.

Only reporting from the Federal Register qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | — | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292876?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-insulated-copper-cable-face-section-232-restrictions-a-section-232-import-restriction-takes-effect-for-articles-classified-under-htsus-statistical-reporting-number-8544493040.

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