---
title: "When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? — In 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-justice-alito-retire-from-the-supreme-court-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 911764.7
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:40:14+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-justice-alito-retire-from-the-supreme-court-in-2026
---

# When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court? — In 2026

Live · $911,765 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The resolution is based on the effective date of the resignation.

If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 30% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6% | 6.9¢ on Kalshi | 6.9¢ |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/665743?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-justice-alito-retire-from-the-supreme-court-in-2026.

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