---
title: "When will P vs NP be resolved?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-p-vs-np-be-resolved
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2040-01-07T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 460.24
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:51:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-p-vs-np-be-resolved
---

# When will P vs NP be resolved?

Live · $460 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For purposes of this Contract, P versus NP Problem in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is considered resolved if at least one of the following occurs and has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time:

A peer-reviewed article presenting a complete proof, a complete disproof, or a counterexample establishing the falsity of the conjecture, in the conjecture's original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been published in one or more Source Agency peer-reviewed journals.

A recognized authoritative body for the academic field of the conjecture, including but not limited to Annals of Mathematics, the American Mathematical Society, the International Mathematical Union, a national academy of sciences, the Nobel Foundation, or an equivalent governing or recognition body for the relevant academic field, has officially recognized in a written communication that the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.

At least two Source Agencies have published reporting describing the conjecture, in its original form as specified by the Exchange at Issuance, as having been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work, and no Source Agency has, prior to the Expiration time, published reporting that such written work has been formally retracted by its author(s) or by any publishing journal, has been formally withdrawn or repudiated by its author(s), or contains an identified error that has not been publicly corrected or addressed by the author(s) in a subsequent publication or amendment.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Moneyline

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 23% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Before 2040 | — | — | — |
| Before 2035 | — | — | — |
| Before 2029 | — | — | — |
| Before 2028 | — | — | — |
| Before 2027 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/521811?via=md)

---

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