---
title: "When will Tesla release Model Y to the public?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-tesla-release-model-y-to-the-public
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 34713.9
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:06:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-tesla-release-model-y-to-the-public
---

# When will Tesla release Model Y to the public?

Live · $34,714 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Tesla releases a two door Model Y to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2136?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-tesla-release-model-y-to-the-public.

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