---
title: "When will Texas enact a state income tax? — Before 2030"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-texas-enact-a-state-income-tax-before-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6146.97
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:47:32+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-texas-enact-a-state-income-tax-before-2030
---

# When will Texas enact a state income tax? — Before 2030

Live · $6,147 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.

A state personal income tax means a tax imposed by the State of Texas on the income of individuals, including a tax that applies only above a specified income threshold. Taxes on businesses, such as the Texas franchise tax, and local taxes do NOT count.

Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods
Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and approval by Texas voters

A constitutional amendment that only removes the Texas Constitution's ban on a personal income tax, without itself imposing the tax, does NOT count. A tax law that depends on voters approving a constitutional amendment counts only once that amendment is approved.

The following do NOT constitute enactment:

Legislative passage without completed executive action
Passage by only some required bodies
Provisional passage
Non-binding resolutions

Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2030 | 22% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| Before 2029 | — | — | — |
| Before 2028 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1143872?via=md)

---

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