---
title: "When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister? — Swedish government formation"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-the-riksdag-approve-a-new-prime-minister-swedish-government-formation
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 47.57
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:27:44+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-the-riksdag-approve-a-new-prime-minister-swedish-government-formation
---

# When will the Riksdag approve a new Prime Minister? — Swedish government formation

Live · $48 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The Speaker presenting or announcing a proposal for Prime Minister, a party leader being tasked with exploring a government, an announced agreement between parties, a Riksdag vote that rejects the Speaker's proposal, and the continued operation of the outgoing caretaker government do NOT qualify.

A proposal is approved unless more than half of the Riksdag's members (at least 175 of 349) vote against it. A proposal approved with more members voting no than yes qualifies. Approval of a proposal naming any person qualifies, including outgoing Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson. Approval by a Riksdag chosen in an extraordinary election qualifies. The approving vote itself counts; the later change of government at the Council of State is not required.

If the Riksdag has not approved a Prime Minister before a market's date, that market resolves to No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Dec 19, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Nov 13, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/972819?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-the-riksdag-approve-a-new-prime-minister-swedish-government-formation).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.