---
title: "When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? — the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-the-us-and-china-reach-a-tariff-agreement-the-united-states-and-china-reach-a-new-mutual-tariff-agreement-publicly-announced-or-confirmed-by-both-governments
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-09-24T19:04:26+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-24T19:04:26+00:00
total_volume_usd: 15557.06
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-05T17:35:32+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-the-us-and-china-reach-a-tariff-agreement-the-united-states-and-china-reach-a-new-mutual-tariff-agreement-publicly-announced-or-confirmed-by-both-governments
---

# When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement? — the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments

Settled · $15,557 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

Voided — no outcome won. Settled 2026-09-24.

## About

An extension, modification, or replacement of the tariff truce in effect at Issuance qualifies as a new mutual tariff agreement. A qualifying agreement must address tariff rates or tariff suspensions; agreements limited to other trade matters do not count. Unilateral tariff actions do not count, even if the other side declines to respond. Reports that negotiations are ongoing, near completion, or agreed in principle by only one side do not count. An agreement qualifies once reached and confirmed by both governments, regardless of when it takes effect.

Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293246?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-the-us-and-china-reach-a-tariff-agreement-the-united-states-and-china-reach-a-new-mutual-tariff-agreement-publicly-announced-or-confirmed-by-both-governments).

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