---
title: "When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law? — Mandatory AI shutdown capabilities"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-the-us-enact-an-ai-kill-switch-law-mandatory-ai-shutdown-capabilities
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 15234.35
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:48:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-the-us-enact-an-ai-kill-switch-law-mandatory-ai-shutdown-capabilities
---

# When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law? — Mandatory AI shutdown capabilities

Live · $15,234 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A qualifying federal law must require a technical capability to halt or disable an AI model or system when needed to address safety or security risks or loss of control. This may be implemented through shutdown, suspension, or cutting off the resources or access the system needs to operate. Control may remain with the company; government authority to activate it is not required.

A general power to ban AI development or deployment does not qualify without a required technical shutdown capability. The capability need not be activated before the deadline. A later effective date does not delay qualification.

An example of this is the AI Kill Switch Act (H.R. 9917).

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | — | — | — |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/556779?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-the-us-enact-an-ai-kill-switch-law-mandatory-ai-shutdown-capabilities.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.
