---
title: "When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-traffic-at-the-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal-gemini-8b8a38f6
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-02T04:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 189771
venues: ["Gemini"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:31:27+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-traffic-at-the-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal-gemini-8b8a38f6
---

# When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Live · $189,771 traded · listed on Gemini

## About

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.

_From Gemini's listing._

## Before November 01, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 4¢ on Gemini | 4¢ |
| No | — | — | — |

## Other markets

- Before September 01, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- Before October 01, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- Before December 01, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- Before January 01, 2027 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299813?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-traffic-at-the-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal-gemini-8b8a38f6.

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