---
title: "When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Transit calls"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-traffic-at-the-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal-transit-calls
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-01T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 23004134.59
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:20:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-traffic-at-the-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal-transit-calls
---

# When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Transit calls

Live · $23,004,135 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 69% | 69¢ on Kalshi | 69¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 67% | 67¢ on Kalshi | 67¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 55% | 55¢ on Kalshi | 55¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 45% | 46¢ on Kalshi | 46¢ |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 34% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 14% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 7% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Jun 15, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Jul 15, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Aug 15, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Aug 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Sep 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Oct 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Nov 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Dec 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Jun 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before May 1, 2027 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/302789?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-traffic-at-the-strait-of-hormuz-return-to-normal-transit-calls.

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