---
title: "When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? — US tariffs on Canada"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-trump-raise-tariffs-on-canada-us-tariffs-on-canada-kalshi-a19d46ee
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6148
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:48:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-trump-raise-tariffs-on-canada-us-tariffs-on-canada-kalshi-a19d46ee
---

# When will Trump raise tariffs on Canada? — US tariffs on Canada

Live · $6,148 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Any qualifying presidential action must be taken personally during the specified time period and explicitly address the topic in its operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.

A specified future effective date qualifies. An agency-only notice, a threat or remark without formal presidential action, or the scheduled activation or expiry of a previously ordered measure does NOT count.

Publication or documentation by a Source Agency of the qualifying action personally signed, issued, or promulgated by Trump constitutes its official announcement by Trump; no separate speech or social-media statement is required.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 75% | 79¢ on Kalshi | 79¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 61% | 64¢ on Kalshi | 64¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 38% | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/636311?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-trump-raise-tariffs-on-canada-us-tariffs-on-canada-kalshi-a19d46ee.

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