---
title: "When will xAI release Grok 5?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/when-will-xai-release-grok-5-grok-5
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 48307.86
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:07:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-xai-release-grok-5-grok-5
---

# When will xAI release Grok 5?

Live · $48,308 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before 2027 | 45% | 48¢ on Kalshi | 48¢ |
| Before December | 20% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ |
| Before October | — | — | — |
| Before July | — | — | — |
| Before September | — | — | — |
| Before November | — | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2242?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/when-will-xai-release-grok-5-grok-5.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.