---
title: "Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026? — On Nov 3, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026-on-nov-3-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-03T13:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4241
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:27:53+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026-on-nov-3-2026
---

# Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026? — On Nov 3, 2026

Live · $4,241 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Each market counts the seats in that chamber held by the Republican Party when the chamber's November 3, 2026 general election results are certified. Every seat on the 2026 ballot is attributed to its certified winner, and every other seat to the party designation the state election authority recorded for the winner of that seat's most recent general or special election, regardless of any vacancy, appointment or party change since that election. The number shown is that state's constitutional requirement to override a governor's veto, applied to the chamber's full membership, including where the state measures it against members present and voting. Vacancies, appointments and party changes after certification, and special elections held after November 3, 2026, are disregarded.

A winner counts as Republican if the official results show the winner on the Republican Party's ballot line or, where they show a combined designation, list Republican first; a winner elected only on another party's line does not count.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas House | 11% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| New Hampshire Senate | — | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Ohio House | — | — | — |
| Ohio Senate | — | — | — |
| Missouri Senate | — | — | — |
| Florida House | — | — | — |
| Idaho Senate | — | — | — |
| Missouri House | — | — | — |
| South Carolina House | — | — | — |
| Iowa Senate | — | — | — |
| North Carolina Senate | — | — | — |
| Utah Senate | — | 89¢ on Kalshi | 89¢ |
| Florida Senate | — | — | — |
| Arizona Senate | — | — | — |
| Iowa House | — | — | — |
| Arizona House | — | — | — |
| Wisconsin Senate | — | — | — |
| Montana Senate | — | — | — |
| Texas Senate | — | — | — |
| North Carolina House | — | — | — |
| Georgia Senate | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/690162?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/where-will-republicans-win-state-legislative-supermajorities-in-2026-on-nov-3-2026.

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