---
title: "Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-bank-will-take-kraken-public-before-2027-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 126204.94
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:49:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-bank-will-take-kraken-public-before-2027-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Which bank will take Kraken public before 2027? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $126,205 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The bank must serve as lead underwriter, book-running manager, or global coordinator as documented in SEC filings (Form S-1 or final prospectus) or official announcements. Joint book-running managers qualify. Direct listings, SPAC mergers, secondary offerings, and private placements do not qualify. If the bank merges with another institution, the surviving entity under any name qualifies. For dual listings, only the U.S. portion is considered. Even if the IPO is later shelved, the market resolves Yes based on the announcement of the underwriting relationship.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goldman Sachs | 13% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Citigroup | 7% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| JPMorgan Chase | 6% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Morgan Stanley | 6% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Bank of America | 5% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293339?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-bank-will-take-kraken-public-before-2027-before-jan-1-2027.

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