---
title: "Which bills will become law in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 623101.9
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:23:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Which bills will become law in 2026? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $623,102 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Clarification: 'FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)' (KXBILLS-FISA) resolves to Yes only if FISA Section 702 is reauthorized for exactly two years, as in the provided example (Public Law 118-49). A reauthorization for any other duration would not qualify.

Clarification: To be clear, legislation that appropriates funds for security adjustments and upgrades relating to the East Wing Modernization Project, a project that includes the construction of a presidential ballroom, constitutes legislation that "authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom," even if the funds are restricted to security elements of that construction.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Protect College Sports Act | 40% | 41¢ on Kalshi | 41¢ |
| Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions | 35% | 39¢ on Kalshi | 39¢ |
| ADS-B revenue-use restriction | 29% | 32¢ on Kalshi | 32¢ |
| Export-control chip security | 28% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| AI-chip export licensing | 14% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |
| Railway safety bill | 14% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act | 13% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Insulin cost cap | 13% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee | 11% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Data center utility cost protection | 11% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Surface transportation reauthorization | 9% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| NO FAKES Act | 9% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years) | 9% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Critical-minerals stockpile | 9% | 9.1¢ on Kalshi | 9.1¢ |
| Credit-card routing competition | 8% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Smithsonian Women’s History Museum | 7% | 8.7¢ on Kalshi | 8.7¢ |
| $2.50 Coin | 7% | 8.9¢ on Kalshi | 8.9¢ |
| E15 year-round sales | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| White House ballroom funding | 7% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| ROTOR Act | 7% | 9.8¢ on Kalshi | 9.8¢ |
| Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty | 7% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Film/TV production expensing | 6% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Dignity Act | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Jewish American security | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| JAWBONE Act | 6% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| SHOWER Act | 4% | 7.1¢ on Kalshi | 7.1¢ |
| Trump Airport | 4% | 4.9¢ on Kalshi | 4.9¢ |
| DEFIANCE Act | 3% | 4.5¢ on Kalshi | 4.5¢ |
| SELF DRIVE Act | 3% | 3.8¢ on Kalshi | 3.8¢ |
| Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday | 2% | 3.7¢ on Kalshi | 3.7¢ |
| Housing for the 21st Century Act | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293382?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-bills-will-become-law-in-2026-before-jan-1-2027.

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