---
title: "Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-05T03:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-05T03:33:56+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1508604.33
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T10:25:39+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff
---

# Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Settled · $1,508,604 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-10-05.

## About

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Other markets

- Romeu Zema — 2 outcomes
- Ronaldo Caiado — 2 outcomes
- Renan Santos — 2 outcomes
- Tarcisio de Frietas — 2 outcomes
- Jair Bolsonaro — 2 outcomes
- Fernando Haddad — 2 outcomes
- Michelle Bolsonaro — 2 outcomes
- Flavio Bolsonaro — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5207?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-candidates-will-advance-to-brazils-presidential-runoff.

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