---
title: "Which central banks will hike before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 74164.07
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:48:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027-before-2027
---

# Which central banks will hike before 2027?

Live · $74,164 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A rate increase qualifies whether announced at a scheduled or unscheduled policy meeting. Forward guidance, speeches, projections, dissents, meeting minutes, analyst forecasts, or market-implied probabilities do not qualify unless the central bank officially announces an increase in the applicable policy rate.

The market resolves based on the official announcement date of the rate increase, not the effective date, unless the announcement does not specify a decision date, in which case the effective date will be used.

If the named central bank changes its monetary policy framework, renames its policy rate, or replaces the applicable policy rate before Jan. 1, 2027, the Exchange will use the central bank’s new main policy interest rate that is most directly comparable to the rate specified above.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of England | 94% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Riksbank | 88% | 88¢ on Kalshi | 88¢ |
| Bank of Canada | 78% | 81¢ on Kalshi | 81¢ |
| Swiss National Bank | 15% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| European Central Bank | — | — | — |
| Bank of Japan | — | — | — |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand | — | — | — |
| Norges Bank | — | — | — |
| Reserve Bank of Australia | — | — | — |
| US Federal Reserve | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2311?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-central-banks-will-hike-before-2027-before-2027.

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