---
title: "Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? — In 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-companies-will-have-a-top-ranked-ai-model-this-year-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 470641.34
venues: ["Kalshi", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:18:46+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-companies-will-have-a-top-ranked-ai-model-this-year-in-2026
---

# Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? — In 2026

Live · $470,641 traded · listed on Kalshi, Polymarket US

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI | 15% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ | 21¢ |
| Meta | 13% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ | 17¢ |
| xAI | 8% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ | 11¢ |
| Baidu | 6% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ | 9¢ |
| Deepseek | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ | 7¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 5¢ on Polymarket US | — | 5¢ |
| Alibaba | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | 6¢ |
| ByteDance | 3% | 4¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 4¢ |
| Mistral | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ | — |
| Moonshot | 3% | 4¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ | 4¢ |
| Z.ai | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | — |
| Nvidia | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | — |
| Amazon | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | — | 3¢ |
| 01A1 | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ | — |
| Google | — | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2044?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299757?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-companies-will-have-a-top-ranked-ai-model-this-year-in-2026).

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