---
title: "Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in-this-year-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1229890.84
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:20:22+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in-this-year-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $1,229,891 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests. This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity. Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold. Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings. Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes. Non-equity instruments like bonds or loans don't qualify. Stakes by sovereign wealth funds or state-owned enterprises attributed to the body count. The value can be expressed as percentage ownership, monetary value, or share count, with percentage being the default unless specified.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unusual Machines | 40% | 41¢ on Kalshi | 41¢ |
| Anduril | 30% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Neros Technologies | 20% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Performance Drone Works | 14% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| TSMC | 14% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Anthropic | 11% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| OpenAI | 11% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| IonQ | 10% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Eli Lilly | 10% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Micron | 10% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Palantir | 10% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Nvidia | 9% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Lockheed Martin | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Freeport-McMoRan | 8% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Pfizer | 8% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Boeing | 8% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| TikTok US | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Spirit Airlines | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| GlobalFoundries | — | — | — |
| D-Wave Quantum | — | — | — |
| Rigetti Computing | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293294?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in-this-year-before-jan-1-2027.

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