---
title: "Which companies will the US take a stake in?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 208526.27
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:16:09+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in
---

# Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Live · $208,526 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.

An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Anduril

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 74% | 75¢ on Polymarket | 75¢ |
| Yes | 26% | 27¢ on Polymarket | 27¢ |

## Other markets

- SpaceX — 2 outcomes
- Unusual Machines — 2 outcomes
- Boeing — 2 outcomes
- TSMC — 2 outcomes
- OpenAI — 2 outcomes
- Palantir — 2 outcomes
- Nvidia — 2 outcomes
- GlobalFoundries — 2 outcomes
- Lockheed Martin — 2 outcomes
- TikTok US / Bytedance — 2 outcomes
- Freeport-McMoRan — 2 outcomes
- IonQ — 2 outcomes
- Micron — 2 outcomes
- D-Wave — 2 outcomes
- Anthropic — 2 outcomes
- Rigetti — 2 outcomes
- Eli Lilly — 2 outcomes
- Pfizer — 2 outcomes
- Samsung Electronics — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5463?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-companies-will-the-us-take-a-stake-in.

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