---
title: "Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-december
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5104.39
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:51:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-december
---

# Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

Live · $5,104 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.

Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 74% | 74¢ on Polymarket | 74¢ |
| OpenAI | 18% | 19¢ on Polymarket | 19¢ |
| Google | 6% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |
| Xiaomi | 5% | 9.5¢ on Polymarket | 9.5¢ |
| Meta | 1% | 2¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ |
| ByteDance | 1% | 2¢ on Polymarket | 2¢ |
| Z.ai | 0.5% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| SpaceXAI | 0.5% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| Alibaba | 0.5% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| Moonshot | 0.5% | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| Nvidia | 0.5% | 0.9¢ on Polymarket | 0.9¢ |
| DeepSeek | — | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| MiniMax | — | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| Baidu | — | 6.4¢ on Polymarket | 6.4¢ |
| Amazon | — | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| Mistral | — | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| Meituan | — | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| Microsoft | — | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |
| Tencent | — | 1¢ on Polymarket | 1¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/679360?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-company-has-the-best-ai-agent-end-of-december.

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