---
title: "Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 827919.39
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:07:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31
---

# Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Live · $827,919 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Lebanon

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90% | 91¢ on Polymarket | 91¢ |
| Yes | 10% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |

## Other markets

- North Korea — 2 outcomes
- Cuba — 2 outcomes
- Syria — 2 outcomes
- Bangladesh — 2 outcomes
- Saudi Arabia — 2 outcomes
- Afghanistan — 2 outcomes
- Qatar — 2 outcomes
- Iraq — 2 outcomes
- Pakistan — 2 outcomes
- Venezuela — 2 outcomes
- Tunisia — 2 outcomes
- Kuwait — 2 outcomes
- Indonesia — 2 outcomes
- Malaysia — 2 outcomes
- Iran — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5347?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-countries-will-recognize-israel-by-december-31.

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