---
title: "Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-countries-will-vote-to-leave-the-eu-before-2030-before-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 24682.17
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:05:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-countries-will-vote-to-leave-the-eu-before-2030-before-2030
---

# Which countries will vote to leave the EU before 2030?

Live · $24,682 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hungary | 5% | 8.5¢ on Kalshi | 8.5¢ |
| France | 5% | 6.9¢ on Kalshi | 6.9¢ |
| Italy | 4% | 7.9¢ on Kalshi | 7.9¢ |
| Spain | 3% | 5.9¢ on Kalshi | 5.9¢ |
| Germany | 3% | 5.7¢ on Kalshi | 5.7¢ |
| Poland | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/276?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-countries-will-vote-to-leave-the-eu-before-2030-before-2030.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.