---
title: "Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — Before 2031"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-country-will-be-the-next-to-send-humans-to-the-moon-before-2031
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2031-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 165594.25
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:17:09+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-country-will-be-the-next-to-send-humans-to-the-moon-before-2031
---

# Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon? — Before 2031

Live · $165,594 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| United States | 57% | 57¢ on Kalshi | 57¢ |
| China | 31% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Russia | 0.8% | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| India | 0.5% | 0.6¢ on Kalshi | 0.6¢ |
| European Space Agency | 0.4% | 0.4¢ on Kalshi | 0.4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/228?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-country-will-be-the-next-to-send-humans-to-the-moon-before-2031.

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