---
title: "Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 43420.34
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:21:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Which Federal Reserve precedents will be broken? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $43,420 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

Clarification 9/28/26: “Dot Plot Omitted” refers to a published Summary of Economic Projections omitting individual participants’ federal funds rate projections as a whole. The absence of a projection from one or more participants does not qualify if other participants’ individual projections are published. Those projections count regardless of their presentation format or whether the term “dot plot” is used.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dot Plot Omitted | 13% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |
| Reserve President Rejected | 12% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Trimmed Mean Emphasized | 9% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Presser Skipped | 9% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Forward Guidance Removed | — | — | — |
| Reserve President Removed | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293264?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-federal-reserve-precedents-will-be-broken-before-jan-1-2027.

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