---
title: "Which G7 leader will leave office next? — G7 Leaders"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next-g7-leaders
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2045-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 24941.54
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:09:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next-g7-leaders
---

# Which G7 leader will leave office next? — G7 Leaders

Live · $24,942 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The individual must actually leave office and no longer hold their title. An announcement of resignation or intention to leave is not sufficient.

In the event of death, the market will resolve to the last traded price prior to death, unless such a price is not available, not logically consistent, or not representative of a fair settlement value, in which case the Exchange may determine a fair value in its sole discretion.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Macron | 70% | 72¢ on Kalshi | 72¢ |
| Friedrich Merz | 25% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Donald Trump | 5% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Andy Burnham | 3% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Mark Carney | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Sanae Takaichi | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Giorgia Meloni | — | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292492?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-g7-leader-will-leave-office-next-g7-leaders.

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