---
title: "Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? — Before 2045"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next-before-2045
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2045-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2036.3
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:19:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-millennium-prize-problem-will-be-solved-next-before-2045
---

# Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next? — Before 2045

Live · $2,036 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

A Millennium Prize Problem is considered Solved at the earliest time that any of the following occurs:

A complete proof, disproof, or counterexample addressing the problem as officially formulated is published in a peer-reviewed journal.
The Clay Mathematics Institute or another recognized authoritative academic body officially recognizes in writing that the problem has been resolved by reference to a specific written work.
At least two Source Agencies report that the problem has been proven, disproven, or otherwise resolved by reference to a specific publicly available written work.

If multiple problems have the same Solution Time, each is treated as the next problem Solved and the market resolves to 1/N, where N is the number of tied problems. A qualifying solution ceases to count if, before Expiration, it is formally retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, rescinded, or found to contain an identified and unaddressed error.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hodge Conjecture | 50% | 54¢ on Kalshi | 54¢ |
| Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture | 35% | 39¢ on Kalshi | 39¢ |
| Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap Problem | — | — | — |
| Riemann Hypothesis | — | — | — |
| P versus NP Problem | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/521810?via=md)

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