---
title: "Which November Swiss referendums will pass? — In 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-november-swiss-referendums-will-pass-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-29T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 800.76
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:33:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-november-swiss-referendums-will-pass-in-2026
---

# Which November Swiss referendums will pass? — In 2026

Live · $801 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements). If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met. Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair taxes for married couples | 14% | 18¢ on Kalshi | 18¢ |
| AHV VAT financing | — | — | — |
| War Materiel Act amendment | — | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Fireworks Initiative | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/487986?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-november-swiss-referendums-will-pass-in-2026.

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