---
title: "Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Before 2035"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next-before-2035
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2035-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 24464.93
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:20:45+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next-before-2035
---

# Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Before 2035

Live · $24,465 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bola Tinubu | 14% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Cyril Ramaphosa | 14% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| John Mahama | 6% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| William Ruto | 6% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Abdel Fattah el-Sisi | 6% | 8.6¢ on Kalshi | 8.6¢ |
| Abdelmadjid Tebboune | 5% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Félix Tshisekedi | 5% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Paul Kagame | 3% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Taye Atske Selassie | 3% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |
| Emmerson Mnangagwa | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292500?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-of-these-african-leaders-will-leave-office-next-before-2035.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.