---
title: "Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-09-21T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 18912.68
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T17:29:22+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government
---

# Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Ended · $18,913 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

Delisted by every venue without a result — this event will not resolve.

## About

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## AfD

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | 3.2¢ |
| No | — | — | 99¢ |

## Other markets

- CDU — 2 outcomes
- Grüne — 2 outcomes
- SPD — 2 outcomes
- FDP — 2 outcomes
- Linke — 2 outcomes
- FW — 2 outcomes
- BSW — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/298105?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-berlin-state-government.

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