---
title: "Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-israeli-government
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 42944.29
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T18:19:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-israeli-government
---

# Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Live · $42,944 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

Parliamentary elections to elect the 26th Knesset are scheduled to take place on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party or electoral list is included in the first Israeli government formed after the 2026 Knesset election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve once the composition of the first Israeli government following the 2026 Knesset election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.

The government is considered formed when the newly elected Knesset approves the government in a vote of confidence. A party is considered part of the government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Prime Minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Israel and the Knesset.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Blue and White

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 95¢ on Polymarket | 95¢ |
| Yes | 6% | 6¢ on Polymarket | 6¢ |

## Other markets

- Likud — 2 outcomes
- Shas — 2 outcomes
- United Torah Judaism — 2 outcomes
- RZP-Zehut — 2 outcomes
- Otzma Yehudit — 2 outcomes
- Together — 2 outcomes
- Yisrael Beiteinu — 2 outcomes
- The Democrats — 2 outcomes
- Yashar — 2 outcomes
- New Economic Party / The Reservists — 2 outcomes
- Ra'am — 2 outcomes
- Joint List — 2 outcomes
- Noam — 2 outcomes
- Amcha Yisrael — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/590114?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-parties-will-be-in-the-next-israeli-government.

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