---
title: "Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-parties-will-win-at-least-one-seat-in-the-next-russian-state-duma-election
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 218855.28
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:41:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-parties-will-win-at-least-one-seat-in-the-next-russian-state-duma-election
---

# Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ended · $218,855 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

Delisted by every venue without a result — this event will not resolve.

## About

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | 0.3¢ |
| No | — | — | 100¢ |

## Other markets

- A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) — 2 outcomes
- Yabloko — 2 outcomes
- Rodina — 2 outcomes
- Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/412985?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-parties-will-win-at-least-one-seat-in-the-next-russian-state-duma-election.

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