---
title: "Which party will win the next UK general election?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-party-will-win-the-next-uk-general-election-gemini-0118b23d
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2031-01-01T00:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 43133
venues: ["Gemini"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:14:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-party-will-win-the-next-uk-general-election-gemini-0118b23d
---

# Which party will win the next UK general election?

Live · $43,133 traded · listed on Gemini

## About

Which party will win the next UK general election? If a party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, the corresponding contract resolves to Yes. If two parties tie in seat count, the party with the higher vote share resolves to Yes. Results verified by credible reporting including The New York Times and the UK House of Commons. This event is mutually exclusive.

_From Gemini's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 37% | 39¢ on Gemini | 39¢ |
| Reform Party | 32% | 32¢ on Gemini | 32¢ |
| Conservative Party | 27% | 29¢ on Gemini | 29¢ |
| Restore Britain Party | 8% | 8¢ on Gemini | 8¢ |
| Liberal Democratic Party | 3% | 3¢ on Gemini | 3¢ |
| Green Party | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299952?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-party-will-win-the-next-uk-general-election-gemini-0118b23d.

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