---
title: "Which party will win the next UK general election? — In the next U.K. election"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-party-will-win-the-next-uk-general-election-in-the-next-uk-election
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-08-31T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 260662.64
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:17:04+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-party-will-win-the-next-uk-general-election-in-the-next-uk-election
---

# Which party will win the next UK general election? — In the next U.K. election

Live · $260,663 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Labour party | 35% | 37¢ on Kalshi | 37¢ |
| Reform party | 35% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |
| Conservative party | 27% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Restore Britain party | 4% | 6.1¢ on Kalshi | 6.1¢ |
| Green party | 2% | 3.5¢ on Kalshi | 3.5¢ |
| Liberal Democratic party | 0.8% | 1.5¢ on Kalshi | 1.5¢ |
| Your Party | 0.4% | 0.8¢ on Kalshi | 0.8¢ |
| Bruv party | 0.2% | 0.3¢ on Kalshi | 0.3¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/300?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-party-will-win-the-next-uk-general-election-in-the-next-uk-election.

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