---
title: "Which Senate races will be within 1 point? — Nov 3, 2026"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-senate-races-will-be-within-1-point-nov-3-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3835.08
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:03:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-senate-races-will-be-within-1-point-nov-3-2026
---

# Which Senate races will be within 1 point? — Nov 3, 2026

Live · $3,835 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The margin is the difference between the winner's vote share and the second-place finisher's vote share, measured in percentage points. Zero indicates a tie. Certified official results are used, subject to the contract's Fully-Conducted Elections and accelerated-resolution provisions.

For ranked-choice voting, the vote shares in the last round actually conducted are used.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa | 18% | 23¢ on Kalshi | 23¢ |
| Kansas | 16% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| Michigan | 15% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Ohio (special) | 14% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Maine | 13% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Florida (special) | 10% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Texas | — | — | — |
| Alaska | — | — | — |
| Nebraska | — | — | — |
| South Carolina | — | — | — |
| New Hampshire | — | — | — |
| North Carolina | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/664820?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-senate-races-will-be-within-1-point-nov-3-2026.

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