---
title: "Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-02T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 249541.01
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:06:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act
---

# Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Live · $249,541 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088

The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment.

This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote.

Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally.

This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Jacky Rosen

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 95¢ on Polymarket | 95¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 5.3¢ on Polymarket | 5.3¢ |

## Other markets

- Mike Lee — 2 outcomes
- Catherine Cortez Masto — 2 outcomes
- Mark Warner — 2 outcomes
- Jerry Moran — 2 outcomes
- Kirsten Gillibrand — 2 outcomes
- Lisa Blunt Rochester — 2 outcomes
- Ruben Gallego — 2 outcomes
- Raphael Warnock — 2 outcomes
- Josh Hawley — 2 outcomes
- Andy Kim — 2 outcomes
- Rand Paul — 2 outcomes
- John Fetterman — 2 outcomes
- Thom Tillis — 2 outcomes
- Alex Padilla — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/133006?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-senators-will-vote-for-the-clarity-act.

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