---
title: "Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026-polymarket-us-9101ee80
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 0
venues: ["Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:06:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026-polymarket-us-9101ee80
---

# Which World Leaders Will Leave Office in 2026?

Live · listed on Polymarket US

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Lecornu - Prime Minister of France | 42% | 56¢ on Polymarket US | 56¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu - Prime Minister of Israel | 36% | 36¢ on Polymarket US | 36¢ |
| Pedro Sanchez - Prime Minister of Spain | 24% | 24¢ on Polymarket US | 24¢ |
| Cyril Ramaphosa - President of South Africa | 23% | 23¢ on Polymarket US | 23¢ |
| Miguel Diaz-Canel - First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba | 18% | 18¢ on Polymarket US | 18¢ |
| Mette Frederiksen - Prime Minister of Denmark | 17% | 17¢ on Polymarket US | 17¢ |
| Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva - President of Brazil | 14% | 18¢ on Polymarket US | 18¢ |
| Emmanuel Macron - President of France | 13% | 14¢ on Polymarket US | 14¢ |
| Giorgia Meloni - Prime Minister of Italy | 13% | 13¢ on Polymarket US | 13¢ |
| Felix Tshisekedi - President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo | 12% | 12¢ on Polymarket US | 12¢ |
| Ramzan Kadyrov - Head of the Chechen Republic | 12% | 12¢ on Polymarket US | 12¢ |
| Friedrich Merz - Chancellor of Germany | 12% | 12¢ on Polymarket US | 12¢ |
| Jens-Frederik Nielsen - Prime Minister of Greenland | 10% | 10¢ on Polymarket US | 10¢ |
| Rodrigo Paz Pereira - President of Bolivia | 8% | 8¢ on Polymarket US | 8¢ |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy - President of Ukraine | 4% | 4¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ |
| Daniel Noboa - President of Ecuador | 4% | 4¢ on Polymarket US | 4¢ |
| Kim Jong Un - Supreme Leader of North Korea | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | 3¢ |
| Xi Jinping - General Secretary of the Communist Party of China | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | 3¢ |
| Sanae Takaichi - Prime Minister of Japan | 3% | 3¢ on Polymarket US | 3¢ |
| Claudia Sheinbaum - President of Mexico | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2¢ |
| Vladimir Putin - President of Russia | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2¢ |
| Javier Milei - President of Argentina | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2¢ |
| Lee Jae Myung - President of South Korea | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2¢ |
| Mark Carney - Prime Minister of Canada | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2¢ |
| Narendra Modi - Prime Minister of India | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2¢ |
| Nayib Bukele - President of El Salvador | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2¢ |
| Recep Tayyip Erdogan - President of Turkiye | 2% | 2¢ on Polymarket US | 2¢ |
| Christopher Luxon - Prime Minister of New Zealand | — | 47¢ on Polymarket US | 47¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/587416?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/which-world-leaders-will-leave-office-in-2026-polymarket-us-9101ee80.

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