---
title: "Who will announce a California departure in 2026? — Before 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-announce-a-california-departure-in-2026-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 23437.39
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:38:25+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-announce-a-california-departure-in-2026-before-2027
---

# Who will announce a California departure in 2026? — Before 2027

Live · $23,437 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The announcement must indicate an intent to change primary residence, not temporary travel or maintaining multiple residences.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Thiel | 55% | 59¢ on Kalshi | 59¢ |
| Mark Zuckerberg | 32% | 35¢ on Kalshi | 35¢ |
| Larry Page | 31% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Chamath Palihapitiya | 10% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Palmer Luckey | 8% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Jensen Huang | 4% | 6.1¢ on Kalshi | 6.1¢ |
| Marc Andreessen | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293376?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-announce-a-california-departure-in-2026-before-2027.

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