---
title: "Who will be Brazilian finance minister after the election? — Before Jul 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-brazilian-finance-minister-after-the-election-before-jul-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 418
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:47:55+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-brazilian-finance-minister-after-the-election-before-jul-1-2027
---

# Who will be Brazilian finance minister after the election? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Live · $418 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Finance in the government formed after the 2026 Brazilian general election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent who is reappointed to the post counts, and so does an incumbent who continues in it without reappointment and still holds it at the end of that window; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. A minister appointed after the election but before the new presidential term begins on Jan 5, 2027 counts only if formally appointed again within that window. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.

If no government is formed after the election before Jul 1, 2027, every market resolves No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Fonteles | 26% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Geraldo Alckmin | 19% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| Dario Durigan | — | — | — |
| Fernando Haddad | — | — | — |
| Bruno Moretti | — | — | — |
| Renan Filho | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Galípolo | — | — | — |
| Camilo Santana | — | — | — |
| Rogério Ceron | — | — | — |
| Aloizio Mercadante | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1115697?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-brazilian-finance-minister-after-the-election-before-jul-1-2027).

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