---
title: "Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — For the 120th Congress"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-house-minority-leader-in-the-120th-congress-for-the-120th-congress
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-30T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 94217.76
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:27:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-house-minority-leader-in-the-120th-congress-for-the-120th-congress
---

# Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress? — For the 120th Congress

Live · $94,218 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For this indirect election, the winner is the candidate elected House Minority Leader by the House Democratic Caucus or the House Republican Conference of whichever party holds the minority in the 120th Congress, as certified by that body. A later change in the office does not affect resolution.

If the minority party selects someone not listed, every market resolves NO.

This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Jordan | 27% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |
| Mike Johnson | 14% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |
| Steve Scalise | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |
| Hakeem Jeffries | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Tom Emmer | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Katherine Clark | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Pete Aguilar | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Joe Neguse | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Ted Lieu | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Lisa McClain | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Jay Obernolte | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Mike Lawler | — | 1¢ on Kalshi | 1¢ |
| Richard Hudson | — | — | — |
| August Pfluger | — | — | — |
| Kevin Hern | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/330077?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-house-minority-leader-in-the-120th-congress-for-the-120th-congress.

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