---
title: "Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election? — Before Oct 27, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-israeli-justice-minister-after-the-election-before-oct-27-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-27T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 14026.9
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:10:58+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-israeli-justice-minister-after-the-election-before-oct-27-2027
---

# Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election? — Before Oct 27, 2027

Live · $14,027 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of Justice in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned.

If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yariv Levin | 19% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | 7% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Efrat Rayten | 5% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |
| Chili Tropper | 5% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Gilad Kariv | 5% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Amir Ohana | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Gideon Sa'ar | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Oded Forer | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Simcha Rothman | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Karine Elharrar | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Moshe Saada | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Ofir Katz | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Tally Gotliv | 3% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |
| Ayelet Shaked | 2% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/770904?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-israeli-justice-minister-after-the-election-before-oct-27-2027.

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