---
title: "Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election? — Before Oct 27, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-israeli-national-security-minister-after-the-election-before-oct-27-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-10-27T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 194.8
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:11:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-israeli-national-security-minister-after-the-election-before-oct-27-2027
---

# Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election? — Before Oct 27, 2027

Live · $195 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Only the first person to formally take office as Minister of National Security in the government formed after the 2026 Israeli legislative election, when it takes office or within 30 days after its first ministers are appointed, counts. An incumbent reappointed to the post counts; later reshuffles, rotations and appointments do not. Nominations, coalition agreements and announcements do not count, nor do acting, caretaker or interim service or a head of government holding the portfolio only by default while it is unassigned. If the ministry is renamed or restructured, such as back to the Ministry of Public Security, the minister of a successor ministry with substantially the same responsibilities counts.

If no government is formed after the election before Oct 27, 2027, including because a new election is called first, every market resolves No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yoram Cohen | 24% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ |
| Eli Cohen | — | — | — |
| Ram Ben-Barak | — | — | — |
| Tally Gotliv | — | — | — |
| Talya Lankri | — | — | — |
| Avi Dichter | — | — | — |
| Hamad Amar | — | — | — |
| Bezalel Smotrich | — | — | — |
| Ofer Winter | — | — | — |
| Matan Kahana | — | — | — |
| Yair Golan | — | — | — |
| Yoav Segalovitz | — | — | — |
| Yoaz Hendel | — | — | — |
| Yossi Cohen | — | — | — |
| Chili Tropper | — | — | — |
| Elazar Stern | — | — | — |
| Haim Katz | — | — | — |
| Limor Son Har-Melech | — | — | — |
| Amichai Eliyahu | — | — | — |
| Amir Ohana | — | — | — |
| Gideon Sa'ar | — | — | — |
| Meirav Ben-Ari | — | — | — |
| Itamar Ben-Gvir | — | — | — |
| Yitzhak Wasserlauf | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/771565?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-israeli-national-security-minister-after-the-election-before-oct-27-2027.

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