---
title: "Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? — Before Jan 1, 2045"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-named-as-xi-jinpings-successor-before-jan-1-2045
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2045-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 38383.25
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:51:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-named-as-xi-jinpings-successor-before-jan-1-2045
---

# Who will be named as Xi Jinping's successor? — Before Jan 1, 2045

Live · $38,383 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The market resolves when the first new non-interim leader is officially announced by the party or credible sources. The person need not have taken office before the deadline date, only be announced as the incoming leader. Interim or acting leaders do not qualify unless they are subsequently announced as the permanent leader. If multiple persons are simultaneously announced as co-leaders, the market resolves proportionally. Leadership contests that extend beyond the deadline date without an announcement resolve to No. The announcement must come from official party channels or be confirmed by multiple credible news sources.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ding Xuexiang | 25% | 26¢ on Kalshi | 26¢ |
| Li Qiang | 15% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Zhao Leji | 14% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Li Xi | 12% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |
| Chen Jining | 10% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |
| Cai Qi | 6% | 9.9¢ on Kalshi | 9.9¢ |
| Yin Li | 3% | 4.8¢ on Kalshi | 4.8¢ |
| Zhang Guoqing | 3% | 5.1¢ on Kalshi | 5.1¢ |
| Li Ganjie | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Chen Min'er | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| He Lifeng | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Wang Huning | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Yin Yong | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |
| Ma Xingrui | 1% | 2¢ on Kalshi | 2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292489?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-named-as-xi-jinpings-successor-before-jan-1-2045.

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