---
title: "Who will be Premier of Victoria after the 2026 election? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/who-will-be-premier-of-victoria-after-the-2026-election-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2642.5
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T14:27:15+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-premier-of-victoria-after-the-2026-election-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Who will be Premier of Victoria after the 2026 election? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $2,642 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.

The qualifying person is the person serving as Premier of Victoria when the caretaker period following the 2026 Victorian state election ends. If the government changes, this is the incoming Premier sworn in by the Governor. If the incumbent government is returned, this is the Premier in office when the election result becomes clear. Service only in caretaker capacity before that point does NOT qualify.

If a person not listed on this event is the first qualifying Premier, every named market resolves NO. If the caretaker period has not ended and no person has qualified before January 1, 2027, every named market resolves NO.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warren Pickering | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Ellen Sandell | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Danny O'Brien | 3% | 5¢ on Kalshi | 5¢ |
| Jess Wilson | — | — | — |
| Ben Carroll | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/413532?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/who-will-be-premier-of-victoria-after-the-2026-election-before-jan-1-2027.

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